Emmen 2-3 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Feb 2026

Emmen
2-3 HT 1-3
PSV II
📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Emmen vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.96
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
6.47
2-3 Goals
37%
2.1
4-5 Goals
28%
2.35
6+ Goals
20%
4.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.94
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
21%
4.55
X/2
6%
10.45
X/X
6%
7.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
17.5
2/2
8%
6.86
2/X
5%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.5 — our 13% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
59%
+3.7pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.5pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.8pp
31%
Under 2.5
30%
+1.1pp
69%
Over 2.5
70%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.1pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v PSV II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 24%
-15% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.80/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.03
+3% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.1 Crosses 10.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Emmen vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY PSV II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.68 xG 1.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
342 Passes 377
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2025 PSV II PSV II 3-1 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
31.01.2025 Emmen Emmen 4-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
04.11.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-3 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
09.02.2024 PSV II PSV II 3-0 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
27.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.03.2022 PSV II PSV II 1-3 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2

Emmen 2-3 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
2-3
AWAY PSV II
2.96 xG 1.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
27 Total Shots 17
11 Shots on Target 9
13 Corners 9
294 Passes 297
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
48 Box Touches 30
33 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Emmen vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II squeezed past Emmen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Emmen carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Emmen had 51% of the ball to PSV II's 49%, shots finished 27-17, expected goals 2.96 to 1.48 — on chances, Emmen could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Emmen and 1.83 for PSV II.

What was the final score of Emmen vs PSV II?

Emmen 2-3 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Emmen 63%, draw 16%, PSV II 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Emmen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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