PSV II 3-1 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Aug 2025

PSV II
3-1 HT 1-0
Emmen
📅11/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.76
1/2
6%
23.95
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
10%
6.04
X/2
9%
5.63
X/X
10%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.0
2/2
18%
3.38
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.34/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.09
+12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
14.1 Crosses 18.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Emmen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.31 xG 1.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
389 Passes 375
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 Emmen Emmen 4-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
04.11.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-3 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
09.02.2024 PSV II PSV II 3-0 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
27.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.03.2022 PSV II PSV II 1-3 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
19.11.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
3-1
AWAY Emmen
1.94 xG 0.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
353 Passes 314
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II beat Emmen 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, PSV II had 51% of the ball to Emmen's 49%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.94 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PSV II and 2.17 for Emmen.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Emmen?

PSV II 3-1 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split PSV II 43%, draw 24%, Emmen 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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