Emmen 4-2 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 31 Jan 2025

Emmen
4-2 HT 0-1
PSV II
📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.25
2-3 Goals
44%
2.09
4-5 Goals
22%
2.39
6+ Goals
13%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.25
X/1
19%
4.14
X/2
7%
13.9
X/X
10%
8.52
2/1
10%
17.55
2/2
13%
9.93
2/X
6%
19.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-16.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.9pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 19%
-19% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -11%
1.40/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.94
-22% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.5 Crosses 11.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY PSV II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
391 Passes 395
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-3 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
09.02.2024 PSV II PSV II 3-0 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
27.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.03.2022 PSV II PSV II 1-3 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
19.11.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
05.03.2018 PSV II PSV II 1-1 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
4-2
AWAY PSV II
3.29 xG 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 Passes 357
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Emmen vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen beat PSV II 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Emmen had 45% of the ball to PSV II's 55%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 3.29 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Emmen and 1.17 for PSV II.

What was the final score of Emmen vs PSV II?

Emmen 4-2 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Emmen 49%, draw 23%, PSV II 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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