Cambuur 2-1 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.78
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.82
X/2
12%
7.17
X/X
9%
4.97
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
11%
5.13
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.65
Value flag · 2/X at 13.65 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.22/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.31
-38% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.6 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Telstar
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 0.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2024 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 2-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
23.03.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
18.08.2023 Telstar Telstar 2-3 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
05.03.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 2-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
04.12.2020 Telstar Telstar 1-2 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.09.2019 Telstar Telstar 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
2-1
AWAY Telstar
1.42 xG 1.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
306 Passes 257
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur squeezed past Telstar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cambuur had 54% of the ball to Telstar's 46%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.42 to 1.93 — the balance of chances actually favoured Telstar.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cambuur and 1.00 for Telstar.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Telstar?

Cambuur 2-1 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 44%, draw 27%, Telstar 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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