Den Bosch 3-0 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.32
1/2
6%
22.55
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
13%
6.94
X/2
15%
5.47
X/X
12%
5.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
27.5
2/2
17%
2.98
2/X
5%
11.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 6% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
1.39/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.47
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
20.1 Crosses 21.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Volendam
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.34 xG 2.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
334 Passes 431
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2024 Volendam Volendam 3-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
22.04.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
26.11.2021 Volendam Volendam 3-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
12.03.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-5 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
11.12.2020 Volendam Volendam 6-0 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
13.10.2019 Volendam Volendam 1-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
3-0
AWAY Volendam
1.65 xG 0.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
249 Passes 348
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch swept aside Volendam 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Den Bosch made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Den Bosch had 42% of the ball to Volendam's 58%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.65 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Den Bosch and 3.33 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Volendam?

Den Bosch 3-0 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 38%, draw 24%, Volendam 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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