Volendam 3-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.22
2-3 Goals
36%
2.09
4-5 Goals
27%
2.55
6+ Goals
14%
5.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.27
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
11%
4.65
X/2
10%
8.7
X/X
8%
6.48
2/1 EV+
12%
19.6
2/2
13%
5.34
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.0pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.92/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.48
+18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.7 Crosses 18.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Den Bosch
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.28 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
431 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
26.11.2021 Volendam Volendam 3-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
12.03.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-5 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
11.12.2020 Volendam Volendam 6-0 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
13.10.2019 Volendam Volendam 1-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.02.2019 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
3-2
AWAY Den Bosch
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam edged past Den Bosch 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Volendam had 60% of the ball to Den Bosch's 40%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Volendam and 0.67 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Den Bosch?

Volendam 3-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Volendam 45%, draw 26%, Den Bosch 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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