Dordrecht 2-2 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.07
2-3 Goals
38%
2.08
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
17%
5.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
11%
4.6
X/2
11%
9.39
X/X
7%
6.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.9
2/2
9%
5.86
2/X
9%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.8pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.90/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.75
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.9 Crosses 17.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Vitesse
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 323
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18.04.2015 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL
28.10.2014 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOK
27.09.2014 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-6 HT 0-2 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
2-2
AWAY Vitesse
3.25 xG 2.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 321
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 36
26 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht and Vitesse couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dordrecht at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Dordrecht had 49% of the ball to Vitesse's 51%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 3.25 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vitesse led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dordrecht and 3.67 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Vitesse?

Dordrecht 2-2 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 49%, draw 26%, Vitesse 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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