Emmen 2-0 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Oct 2024

Emmen
2-0 HT 1-0
FC Oss
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.43
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
21.2
X/1
20%
3.58
X/2
7%
18.3
X/X
7%
8.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.95
2/2
9%
13.4
2/X
8%
21.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.2pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 14%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.36/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.68
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
23.1 Crosses 14.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Oss
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
460 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
29.09.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
04.02.2022 Emmen Emmen 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
15.10.2021 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
12.03.2018 FC Oss FC Oss 2-3 HT 2-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
27.10.2017 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
2-0
AWAY FC Oss
1.99 xG 0.02
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
447 Passes 201
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 3
11 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Emmen vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen got the better of FC Oss 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Emmen had 64% of the ball to FC Oss's 36%, shots finished 15-1, expected goals 1.99 to 0.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Emmen and 1.00 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of Emmen vs FC Oss?

Emmen 2-0 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Emmen 57%, draw 23%, FC Oss 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✗ Over 2.5
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