Utrecht II vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Utrecht II v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Utrecht II vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Utrecht II 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II found just enough to beat Utrecht II 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; AZ Alkmaar II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Utrecht II had 46% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 54%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.35 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Utrecht II and 1.67 for AZ Alkmaar II.
Utrecht II vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score
Utrecht II 0 - 1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Utrecht II vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 40%, draw 26%, AZ Alkmaar II 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.