ADO Den Haag 2-1 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.94
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.9 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.35
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
13%
4.46
X/2
10%
8.34
X/X
11%
5.66
2/1 EV+ ✓
7%
21.1
2/2
14%
6.08
2/X
7%
14.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +19%
1.62/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.11
-5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.4 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.00 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-4 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
20.04.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
18.09.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
13.03.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
07.10.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
21.05.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-2 HT 0-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
2-1
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.37 xG 1.34
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
491 Passes 144
83% Pass Accuracy 59%
29 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag nicked a narrow win over FC Eindhoven 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 71% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 29%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.37 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ADO Den Haag and 0.67 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs FC Eindhoven?

ADO Den Haag 2-1 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 44%, draw 27%, FC Eindhoven 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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