FC Eindhoven 0-4 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
14%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.46
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
22.3
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
11%
7.88
X/2
14%
4.48
X/X
9%
5.36
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.5
2/X
9%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.22/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.09
-19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.1 Crosses 19.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
0W-3D-3L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 338
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
18.09.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
13.03.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
07.10.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
21.05.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-2 HT 0-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
17.05.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
0-4
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.04 xG 1.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
342 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag cruised past FC Eindhoven 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 51% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 49%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.04 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.33 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag?

FC Eindhoven 0-4 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 30%, draw 25%, ADO Den Haag 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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