Ajax II 0-1 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Nov 2024

Ajax II
0-1 HT 0-1
VVV-Venlo
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Ajax II vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
5.5
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
23%
2.66
6+ Goals
10%
6.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.5 — our 30% vs market 13.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.47
X/2
11%
9.22
X/X
11%
6.15
2/1
9%
20.1
2/2
14%
5.98
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.4pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax II v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.67/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.61
+4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
12.2 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Ajax II vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.69 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
441 Passes 278
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
06.10.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 3-0 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
28.04.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
24.10.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
25.04.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 6-1 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
05.11.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-3 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2

Ajax II 0-1 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
0-1
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.41 xG 1.73
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
497 Passes 187
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo nicked a narrow win over Ajax II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; VVV-Venlo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ajax II had 68% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 32%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.41 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ajax II and 0.83 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs VVV-Venlo?

Ajax II 0-1 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 40%, draw 28%, VVV-Venlo 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajax II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax II) ✓ Under 2.5
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