AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.05
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.97
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.2
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
12%
7.76
X/2
14%
4.77
X/X
12%
5.75
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
23%
2.53
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.2 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 52%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.28/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.50
+37% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
12.0 Crosses 19.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cambuur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.13 xG 1.88
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
347 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
15.12.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
23.04.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-4 HT 0-4 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
12.12.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 2-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
09.03.2020 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-3 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
29.11.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2-3
AWAY Cambuur
1.65 xG 1.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
324 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cambuur edged past AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 away from home in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 1 Nov 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 53% of the ball to Cambuur's 47%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.65 to 1.91.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.17 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur?

AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 31%, draw 25%, Cambuur 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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