AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Mar 2024

AZ Alkmaar II
2-0 HT 1-0
Cambuur
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
26.0
1/X
10%
12.2
X/1
14%
5.6
X/2
14%
6.22
X/X
9%
5.38
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
15%
3.76
2/X
5%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ Alkmaar II v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.47/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.01
+14% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
10.9 Crosses 16.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cambuur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.84 xG 2.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
337 Passes 381
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
23.04.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-4 HT 0-4 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
12.12.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 2-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
09.03.2020 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-3 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
29.11.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
04.02.2019 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-1 HT 2-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2

AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2-0
AWAY Cambuur
2.55 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
397 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar II beat Cambuur 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day AZ Alkmaar II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 57% of the ball to Cambuur's 43%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.55 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.33 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur?

AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 40%, draw 24%, Cambuur 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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