Telstar 3-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Mar 2024

Telstar
3-1 HT 2-1
ADO Den Haag
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.86
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
12%
8.38
X/2
16%
4.4
X/X
10%
5.38
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.38
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +17%
1.28/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.03
-18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +68%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.6 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
0W-2D-4L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.92
44% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
286 Passes 407
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
31.03.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
11.11.2022 Telstar Telstar 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
21.03.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
19.11.2021 Telstar Telstar 0-2 HT 0-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
25.10.2016 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOK

Telstar 3-1 ADO Den Haag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
3-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.50 xG 0.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
238 Passes 394
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Telstar vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar got the better of ADO Den Haag 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Telstar had 39% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 61%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.50 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Telstar and 1.67 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?

Telstar 3-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Telstar 30%, draw 23%, ADO Den Haag 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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