FC Oss vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Oss v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
FC Oss vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Oss
HOL2
2-2
HT 2-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-2
FC Oss
HOL2
1-3
HT 1-1
FC Oss
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-1
FC Oss
HOL2
FC Oss 1-0 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics
FC Oss edged past Helmond Sport 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Helmond Sport at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, FC Oss had 41% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 59%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.58 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Oss's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Oss had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Oss and 1.00 for Helmond Sport.
What was the final score of FC Oss vs Helmond Sport?
FC Oss 1-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Oss vs Helmond Sport?
Before kick-off our model rated an Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 31%, draw 25%, Helmond Sport 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Helmond Sport), BTTS Yes went the other way.