Ajax II 3-0 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Mar 2024

Ajax II
3-0 HT 2-0
PSV II
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Ajax II vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.25
2-3 Goals
38%
2.09
4-5 Goals
25%
2.54
6+ Goals
13%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.0
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
11.9
X/1
16%
5.69
X/2
11%
6.76
X/X
14%
5.93
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
15%
3.81
2/X
8%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.8pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax II v PSV II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.46/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.03
+41% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
11.3 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Ajax II vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY PSV II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.88 xG 1.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
431 Passes 326
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.12.2023 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 1-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
17.04.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 5-4 HT 3-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.12.2022 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
07.02.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 2-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
10.09.2021 PSV II PSV II 3-1 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
29.01.2021 PSV II PSV II 1-2 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2

Ajax II 3-0 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
3-0
AWAY PSV II
1.62 xG 0.66
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
316 Passes 503
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II swept aside PSV II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ajax II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax II had 40% of the ball to PSV II's 60%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.62 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ajax II and 2.00 for PSV II.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs PSV II?

Ajax II 3-0 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 39%, draw 28%, PSV II 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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