ADO Den Haag 1-1 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.2
X/1
19%
3.87
X/2
7%
11.3
X/X
8%
6.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.15
2/2
11%
8.09
2/X
9%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.59/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.50
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
24.7 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.97 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 Passes 346
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
13.03.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
07.10.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
21.05.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-2 HT 0-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
17.05.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
14.03.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
1-1
AWAY FC Eindhoven
0.84 xG 1.31
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
379 Passes 177
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
12 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag and FC Eindhoven shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 63% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 37%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.84 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ADO Den Haag and 0.83 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs FC Eindhoven?

ADO Den Haag 1-1 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 52%, draw 23%, FC Eindhoven 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
20 Apr 2024
19:45 MVV Maastricht vs Willem II Analysis →
22:00 Groningen vs Cambuur Analysis →