Groningen 3-0 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Apr 2024

Groningen
3-0 HT 2-0
Cambuur
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Groningen vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
18.2
X/1
27%
3.64
X/2
6%
14.4
X/X
8%
6.82
2/1
8%
21.3
2/2
8%
10.9
2/X
5%
18.75
Value flag · 1/X at 18.2 — our 12% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Groningen v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.62/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.91
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
22.4 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Groningen vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cambuur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
285 Passes 300
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 2-1 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL2
26.01.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
11.09.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 0-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
15.05.2022 Groningen Groningen 2-3 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
15.08.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
07.02.2016 Groningen Groningen 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL

Groningen 3-0 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
3-0
AWAY Cambuur
2.16 xG 0.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
222 Passes 306
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen ran out comfortable winners over Cambuur 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Groningen as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Groningen had 42% of the ball to Cambuur's 58%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.16 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Groningen and 1.17 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Cambuur?

Groningen 3-0 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Groningen 55%, draw 25%, Cambuur 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Groningen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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