De Graafschap vs Utrecht II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v Utrecht II — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs Utrecht II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
De Graafschap 1-0 Utrecht II — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap nicked a narrow win over Utrecht II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, De Graafschap had 61% of the ball to Utrecht II's 39%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.74 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold De Graafschap's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for De Graafschap and 1.67 for Utrecht II.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Utrecht II?
De Graafschap 1-0 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Utrecht II?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 62%, draw 16%, Utrecht II 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.