Willem II 3-0 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Feb 2026

Willem II
3-0 HT 2-0
Vitesse
📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Willem II vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.43
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
14%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.52
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
13%
4.83
X/2
9%
7.73
X/X
7%
5.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.7
2/2
15%
5.18
2/X
8%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Willem II v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.79/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.81
-5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
23.2 Crosses 21.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Willem II vs Vitesse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vitesse
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
236 Passes 384
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 1-2 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
24.04.2022 Willem II Willem II 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
22.08.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 0-3 HT 0-2 Willem II Willem II HOL
21.03.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 0-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
17.12.2020 Willem II Willem II 0-2 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOK
31.10.2020 Willem II Willem II 1-3 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL

Willem II 3-0 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
3-0
AWAY Vitesse
1.56 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
293 Passes 385
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II swept aside Vitesse 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Willem II had 44% of the ball to Vitesse's 56%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.56 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Willem II and 1.00 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Vitesse?

Willem II 3-0 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Willem II 50%, draw 21%, Vitesse 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Willem II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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