Cambuur 1-1 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.55
6+ Goals
12%
6.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.07
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.46
X/2
8%
9.66
X/X
11%
6.51
2/1
8%
19.0
2/2
8%
6.69
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.99/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.54
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.1 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
1W-1D-4L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.56 xG 2.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 348
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2025 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-2 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOK
24.10.2025 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 4-2 HT 2-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
17.12.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 4-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOK
28.05.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 4-0 HT 2-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
17.09.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 5-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
06.05.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
1-1
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
2.93 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
439 Passes 260
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
44 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur and RKC Waalwijk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Cambuur carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Cambuur had 61% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 39%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.93 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cambuur and 2.83 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs RKC Waalwijk?

Cambuur 1-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 55%, draw 22%, RKC Waalwijk 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
20 Feb 2026
22:00 VVV-Venlo vs FC Oss Analysis →
22:00 Helmond Sport vs ADO Den Haag Analysis →
22:00 Emmen vs PSV II Analysis →
22:00 De Graafschap vs Utrecht II Analysis →
22:00 Dordrecht vs Ajax II Analysis →
22:00 Willem II vs Vitesse Analysis →