RKC Waalwijk 4-1 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 17 Dec 2024

RKC Waalwijk
4-1 HT 1-1
Cambuur
📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2024/2025

RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 37%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.67/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.76/0.21
-58% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cambuur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.27 xG 1.92
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
340 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.05.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 4-0 HT 2-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
17.09.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 5-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
06.05.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
31.10.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
28.10.2020 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-2 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOK
08.03.2019 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2

RKC Waalwijk 4-1 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
4-1
AWAY Cambuur
3.29 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
25 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
372 Passes 325
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
41 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk swept aside Cambuur 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 53% of the ball to Cambuur's 47%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 3.29 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.83 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur?

RKC Waalwijk 4-1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 34%, draw 23%, Cambuur 42%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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