MVV Maastricht 1-2 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.95
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.94
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.2
2-3 Goals
41%
2.42
4-5 Goals
30%
2.24
6+ Goals
13%
3.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
9%
+12.2pp
17%
Draw
12%
+5.0pp
61%
Away Win
78%
-17.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+11.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-11.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 84%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -86% / -86%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+98% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -51%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 83%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
1-2
AWAY Feyenoord
1.83 xG 2.22
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
213 Passes 493
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 38
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord edged past MVV Maastricht 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 36% of the ball to Feyenoord's 64%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.83 to 2.22.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Feyenoord?

MVV Maastricht 1-2 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 21%, draw 17%, Feyenoord 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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