Quick Boys 3-1 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quick Boys EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 62%
+68% / +68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.69/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.34
+101% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +119%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
15.4 Crosses 21.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quick Boys
3-1
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
2.74 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
213 Passes 243
65% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Quick Boys vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quick Boys got the better of Fortuna Sittard 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Sittard at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Quick Boys had 47% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 53%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 2.74 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Quick Boys vs Fortuna Sittard?

Quick Boys 3-1 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quick Boys vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Quick Boys 27%, draw 22%, Fortuna Sittard 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) ✓ Over 2.5
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