RKC Waalwijk 3-2 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.35
No
41%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.1pp
41%
BTTS No
30%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
3.29/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/3.29
+139% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -62%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
22.0 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cambuur
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.41 xG 1.70
55% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
340 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2025 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 4-2 HT 2-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
17.12.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 4-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOK
28.05.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 4-0 HT 2-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
17.09.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 5-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
06.05.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
31.10.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
3-2
AWAY Cambuur
1.47 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
348 Passes 460
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk squeezed past Cambuur 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; RKC Waalwijk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 44% of the ball to Cambuur's 56%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.47 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.67 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur?

RKC Waalwijk 3-2 Cambuur in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 37%, draw 22%, Cambuur 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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