Hoek 3-2 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.5pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoek EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +90%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
Crosses 16.4
Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoek
3-2
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.49 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 5
321 Passes 398
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 18
45 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hoek vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoek nicked a narrow win over FC Eindhoven 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Hoek made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Hoek had 47% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 53%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.49 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Hoek vs FC Eindhoven?

Hoek 3-2 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoek vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hoek 40%, draw 28%, FC Eindhoven 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoek), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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