Lisse 0-5 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
30%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
12%
+7.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.2pp
59%
Away Win
70%
-11.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lisse EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 75%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 83%
4.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.7 Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lisse
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Telstar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.07.2023 Lisse Lisse 1-6 Telstar Telstar HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lisse
0-5
AWAY Telstar
0.42 xG 2.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
297 Passes 305
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lisse vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar ran out comfortable winners over Lisse 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Telstar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Lisse had 50% of the ball to Telstar's 50%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.42 to 2.99.

What was the final score of Lisse vs Telstar?

Lisse 0-5 Telstar in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lisse vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Lisse 20%, draw 21%, Telstar 59%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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