RKC Waalwijk 4-2 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Oct 2025

RKC Waalwijk
4-2 HT 2-0
Cambuur
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.74
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
10%
6.26
X/2
18%
5.72
X/X
11%
5.9
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
17%
3.26
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.2pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.67/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.24
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
23.9 Crosses 19.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cambuur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.48 xG 1.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
347 Passes 261
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.12.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 4-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOK
28.05.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 4-0 HT 2-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
17.09.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 5-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
06.05.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
31.10.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
28.10.2020 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-2 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOK

RKC Waalwijk 4-2 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
4-2
AWAY Cambuur
2.09 xG 1.95
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
310 Passes 394
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk beat Cambuur 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 45% of the ball to Cambuur's 55%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.09 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.67 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur?

RKC Waalwijk 4-2 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 34%, draw 23%, Cambuur 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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