De Graafschap vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v PSV II — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-1
HT 0-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
3-2
HT 1-1
PSV II
HOL2
De Graafschap 3-2 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap squeezed past PSV II 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) came in.
On the day, De Graafschap had 52% of the ball to PSV II's 48%, shots finished 38-26, expected goals 3.82 to 2.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold De Graafschap's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for De Graafschap and 1.50 for PSV II.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs PSV II?
De Graafschap 3-2 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs PSV II?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 53%, draw 21%, PSV II 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.