Helmond Sport 1-2 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.94
1/2 EV+ ✓
10%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.26
X/2
12%
6.86
X/X
8%
5.55
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2
13%
4.42
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.63/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.65
+25% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
17.7 Crosses 17.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dordrecht
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 270
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
10.11.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
12.01.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
23.10.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
07.07.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HAZ
26.03.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
1-2
AWAY Dordrecht
0.39 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
279 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht squeezed past Helmond Sport 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Helmond Sport at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 52% of the ball to Dordrecht's 48%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.39 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.83 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht?

Helmond Sport 1-2 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 45%, draw 21%, Dordrecht 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Helmond Sport) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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