Helmond Sport 0-1 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Feb 2025

Helmond Sport
0-1 HT 0-1
Dordrecht
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
4.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
8.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 31% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.55
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
13%
5.91
X/2
13%
6.02
X/X
15%
5.21
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
15%
3.65
2/X
7%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.3pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helmond Sport v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +28%
1.28/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.41
+10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.8 Crosses 17.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dordrecht
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.86 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 322
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
12.01.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
23.10.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
07.07.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HAZ
26.03.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
16.09.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2

Helmond Sport 0-1 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
0-1
AWAY Dordrecht
1.40 xG 1.48
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
380 Passes 220
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht edged past Helmond Sport 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Dordrecht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 61% of the ball to Dordrecht's 39%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.40 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.83 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht?

Helmond Sport 0-1 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 36%, draw 29%, Dordrecht 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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