Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almere City v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
3-2
HT 2-0
Almere City
HOL2
0-3
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
2-1
HT 0-1
Almere City
HOL2
2-5
HT 1-4
Almere City
HOL2
2-0
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
Almere City 1-3 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II saw off Almere City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Almere City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Almere City had 54% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 46%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.51 to 1.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Almere City and 1.83 for AZ Alkmaar II.
What was the final score of Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Almere City 1-3 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Almere City 52%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar II 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almere City) went the other way.