Ajax II 0-1 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.53
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.74
Over 2.5
67%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.02
2-3 Goals
39%
2.07
4-5 Goals
28%
2.43
6+ Goals
17%
5.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.75
1/2
7%
21.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
11%
6.64
X/2
7%
5.81
X/X
9%
6.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
2/2
20%
3.06
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
36%
+10.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
33%
+0.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
67%
-0.6pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.7pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.56/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.24
+35% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
11.7 Crosses 19.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Emmen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.26 xG 1.49
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
361 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 0-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
08.11.2024 Emmen Emmen 4-2 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
29.03.2024 Emmen Emmen 4-2 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
15.09.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 3-3 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
25.02.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
06.12.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 1-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
0-1
AWAY Emmen
0.76 xG 1.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
366 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen nicked a narrow win over Ajax II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax II had 50% of the ball to Emmen's 50%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.76 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajax II and 2.50 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs Emmen?

Ajax II 0-1 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 46%, draw 20%, Emmen 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajax II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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