Vitesse 2-2 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Oct 2025

Vitesse
2-2 HT 2-1
Roda
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Vitesse vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.84
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
10%
5.96
X/2
11%
5.57
X/X
14%
5.21
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
18%
3.46
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Roda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.17/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.46
-6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.2 Crosses 19.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Vitesse vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Roda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
326 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
26.11.2024 Roda Roda 3-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
31.03.2018 Vitesse Vitesse 0-3 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL
18.08.2017 Roda Roda 1-3 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
14.05.2017 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL
20.08.2016 Roda Roda 0-1 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL

Vitesse 2-2 Roda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
2-2
AWAY Roda
0.52 xG 0.88
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
239 Passes 514
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse and Roda couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vitesse had 35% of the ball to Roda's 65%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.52 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vitesse and 1.17 for Roda.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Roda?

Vitesse 2-2 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 35%, draw 28%, Roda 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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