Vitesse 3-0 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 19 Apr 2025

Vitesse
3-0 HT 1-0
Roda
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Vitesse vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 26% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.0pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Roda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 34%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.37/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.47
-29% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
23.6 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Vitesse vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Roda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 2.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2024 Roda Roda 3-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
31.03.2018 Vitesse Vitesse 0-3 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL
18.08.2017 Roda Roda 1-3 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
14.05.2017 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL
20.08.2016 Roda Roda 0-1 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
06.03.2016 Roda Roda 1-2 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL

Vitesse 3-0 Roda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
3-0
AWAY Roda
1.55 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
352 Passes 279
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse cruised past Roda 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vitesse as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vitesse had 55% of the ball to Roda's 45%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.55 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vitesse and 1.33 for Roda.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Roda?

Vitesse 3-0 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 42%, draw 25%, Roda 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitesse), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitesse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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