De Graafschap 3-1 PSV II — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Also in play: 4-1 · 5-1 — 8% together
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.4
Draw
15%
4.83
Away
14%
5.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under
19%
3.25
OverVIEW
81%
1.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
7%
9.52
2-3
36%
2.5
4-5
38%
2.33
6+
19%
3.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1.61
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.65
X/1
18%
4.08
X/2
5%
15.0
X/X
8%
9.43
2/1
4%
16.7
2/2
7%
9.0
2/X
3%
17.4
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME De Graafschap The Market 71%
Signal
AWAY PSV II The Market 19%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.90
Weak Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
34 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Graafschap
4W-1D-1L
AWAY PSV II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
319 Passes 385
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 4-2 HT 3-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.09.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-3 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
17.03.2023 PSV II PSV II 2-1 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
11.11.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-2 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
29.04.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-1 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
06.12.2021 PSV II PSV II 2-3 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Graafschap
3 - 1
AWAY PSV II
1.60 xG 0.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
331 Passes 395
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW De Graafschap vs PSV II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

De Graafschap got the better of PSV II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (81%), both teams to score (64%) came home.

Under the surface, PSV II saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.60 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for De Graafschap against 1.67 for PSV II.

De Graafschap vs PSV II Result & Final Score

De Graafschap 3 - 1 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

De Graafschap vs PSV II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 71%, draw 15%, PSV II 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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