Utrecht II vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utrecht II v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
Utrecht II vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Utrecht II
HOL2
Utrecht II 2-3 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap edged past Utrecht II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) came in.
On the day, Utrecht II had 56% of the ball to De Graafschap's 44%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 3.66 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Utrecht II.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Utrecht II and 1.33 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of Utrecht II vs De Graafschap?
Utrecht II 2-3 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 28%, draw 21%, De Graafschap 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.