Helmond Sport 2-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
30%
2.84
6+ Goals
14%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.35
1/2
9%
20.45
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
11%
9.28
X/2
14%
4.24
X/X
10%
6.28
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.19
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 59%
+7% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.25/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.05
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
16.5 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
3W-2D-1L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
285 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-1 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
01.12.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-2 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
28.04.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
28.10.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
08.04.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
15.10.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
2-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.28 xG 2.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
280 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport squeezed past ADO Den Haag 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 53% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 47%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 2.28 to 2.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.17 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs ADO Den Haag?

Helmond Sport 2-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 30%, draw 23%, ADO Den Haag 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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