Emmen 3-0 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.42
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.7
X/2
13%
5.99
X/X
12%
5.49
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
14%
3.65
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.72/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.36
+12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.3 Crosses 19.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY De Graafschap
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
319 Passes 318
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 2-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
31.10.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOK
25.08.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-1 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
01.04.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
27.08.2021 Emmen Emmen 0-2 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
23.04.2019 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
3-0
AWAY De Graafschap
1.34 xG 0.53
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
252 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Emmen vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen cruised past De Graafschap 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Emmen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Emmen had 41% of the ball to De Graafschap's 59%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.34 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Emmen and 1.17 for De Graafschap.

What was the final score of Emmen vs De Graafschap?

Emmen 3-0 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Emmen 40%, draw 26%, De Graafschap 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
25 Nov 2024
22:00 Helmond Sport vs ADO Den Haag Analysis →
22:00 Volendam vs Ajax II Analysis →
22:00 PSV II vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →
22:00 Dordrecht vs FC Oss Analysis →