Volendam 3-0 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
4.0
Over 2.5
73%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
10.7
2-3 Goals
33%
2.65
4-5 Goals
32%
2.33
6+ Goals
22%
3.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.6
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.5
X/1
11%
4.14
X/2
4%
15.9
X/X
5%
10.2
2/1
7%
16.45
2/2
13%
9.37
2/X
5%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.6pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.6pp
27%
Under 2.5
22%
+5.9pp
73%
Over 2.5
78%
-5.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.4pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
2.15/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.81
+18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 79%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.7 Crosses 11.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ajax II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.05 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
360 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HAZ
16.04.2022 Volendam Volendam 3-1 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
19.11.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 4-4 HT 4-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
23.02.2021 Volendam Volendam 3-2 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
23.11.2020 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
06.03.2020 Volendam Volendam 4-0 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
3-0
AWAY Ajax II
4.23 xG 0.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
23 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
310 Passes 406
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
49 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam cruised past Ajax II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (73%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.

On the day, Volendam had 44% of the ball to Ajax II's 56%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 4.23 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Volendam and 1.50 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Ajax II?

Volendam 3-0 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Volendam 58%, draw 18%, Ajax II 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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