ADO Den Haag vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADO Den Haag v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
ADO Den Haag vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
2-2
HT 0-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-0
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
ADO Den Haag 3-1 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag got the better of Helmond Sport 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, ADO Den Haag had 34% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 66%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.83 to 1.54 — on chances, Helmond Sport could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.83 for Helmond Sport.
What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Helmond Sport?
ADO Den Haag 3-1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Helmond Sport?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 54%, draw 27%, Helmond Sport 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag) — while BTTS No went the other way.