Volendam 4-0 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Jan 2025

Volendam
4-0 HT 3-0
Vitesse
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Volendam vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.09
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
29%
2.4
6+ Goals
15%
4.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.7
X/1
17%
4.09
X/2
5%
15.25
X/X
8%
8.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.2
2/2
11%
11.25
2/X
8%
19.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.2 — our 10% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.27/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.14
+19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.2 Crosses 23.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 4.3

Volendam vs Vitesse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vitesse
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.94 xG 1.55
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
179 Passes 477
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.10.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 1-2 HT 0-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
18.02.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
11.08.2023 Volendam Volendam 1-2 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
18.02.2023 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
17.09.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
08.03.2009 Volendam Volendam 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL

Volendam 4-0 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
4-0
AWAY Vitesse
2.51 xG 1.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 13
250 Passes 375
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 38
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam cruised past Vitesse 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Volendam had 41% of the ball to Vitesse's 59%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.51 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Volendam and 0.83 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Vitesse?

Volendam 4-0 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Volendam 56%, draw 23%, Vitesse 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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