Vitesse 1-1 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.53
No
37%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.83
6+ Goals
15%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.34
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.67
X/2
8%
6.27
X/X
9%
5.36
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
20%
3.89
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
+1.9pp
37%
BTTS No
39%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.31/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.06
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
21.8 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
1W-1D-4L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 1.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
378 Passes 313
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
16.09.2025 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
30.10.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-1 HT 3-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOK
09.03.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-1 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
16.09.2023 Vitesse Vitesse 0-2 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
01.04.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
1-1
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.75 xG 1.88
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
254 Passes 404
25 Box Touches 30
29 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse and RKC Waalwijk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vitesse at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.75 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitesse and 1.83 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs RKC Waalwijk?

Vitesse 1-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 42%, draw 23%, RKC Waalwijk 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vitesse), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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