Vitesse 2-1 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 10 Dec 2025

Vitesse
2-1 HT 1-0
RKC Waalwijk
📅10/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Vitesse vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.28
1/2
7%
22.25
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
10%
6.84
X/2
16%
5.43
X/X
8%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
27.0
2/2
21%
3.0
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 6% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.16/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.56
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
18.2 Crosses 17.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2

Vitesse vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
0W-2D-4L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.44 xG 1.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
398 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2025 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
30.10.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-1 HT 3-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOK
09.03.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-1 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
16.09.2023 Vitesse Vitesse 0-2 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
01.04.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
27.08.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 2-2 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

Vitesse 2-1 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
2-1
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
0.98 xG 1.63
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
199 Passes 370
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse squeezed past RKC Waalwijk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was RKC Waalwijk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vitesse had 38% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 62%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.98 to 1.63 — on chances, RKC Waalwijk could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitesse and 2.00 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs RKC Waalwijk?

Vitesse 2-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 33%, draw 23%, RKC Waalwijk 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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