Cambuur 0-4 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Aug 2026

Cambuur
0-4 HT 0-3
Excelsior
📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2026/2027

Cambuur vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.75
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
13%
5.99
X/2
15%
5.88
X/X
9%
4.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.0
2/2
15%
3.64
2/X
5%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambuur v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.48/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.28
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.0 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Cambuur vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Excelsior
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.39 xG 1.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 255
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.01.2025 Cambuur Cambuur 1-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
26.10.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 0-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
19.03.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 4-1 HT 4-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
06.08.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-2 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
05.04.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 7-2 HT 1-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
20.12.2020 Excelsior Excelsior 0-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2

Cambuur 0-4 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
0-4
AWAY Excelsior
0.70 xG 3.35
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
317 Passes 354
14 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior cruised past Cambuur 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.70 to 3.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cambuur and 1.33 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Excelsior?

Cambuur 0-4 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 42%, draw 23%, Excelsior 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cambuur), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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