Hegelmann II 3-1 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.09
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
64%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
29%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
17%
+0.2pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.1pp
64%
Away Win
62%
+1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 66%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.04/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.45
+9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Garliava
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
11.10.2024 Garliava Garliava 2-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
26.05.2024 Hegelmann II 1-1 HT 0-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II beat Garliava 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Garliava carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Garliava led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hegelmann II and 1.50 for Garliava.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Garliava?

Hegelmann II 3-1 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 17%, draw 19%, Garliava 64%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Garliava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Garliava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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