Paredes 3-1 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paredes EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.45/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.84
+12% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paredes
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2025 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-3 HT 0-1 Paredes Paredes POR3
24.09.2025 Paredes Paredes 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
29.04.2023 Paredes Paredes 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
08.04.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 0-1 HT 0-1 Paredes Paredes POR3
13.01.2023 Paredes Paredes 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paredes
3-1
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paredes got the better of Vitoria Guimaraes II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paredes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Paredes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Paredes and 0.60 for Vitoria Guimaraes II.

What was the final score of Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Paredes 3-1 Vitoria Guimaraes II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paredes 46%, draw 30%, Vitoria Guimaraes II 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paredes), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paredes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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