Guangxi Hengchen 1-2 Shaanxi Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 42%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
0.23/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.00
+37% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -67%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.0 Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
1-2
AWAY Shaanxi Union
0.33 xG 0.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
139 Passes 265
57% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guangxi Hengchen vs Shaanxi Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shaanxi Union edged past Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Shaanxi Union made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangxi Hengchen had 40% of the ball to Shaanxi Union's 60%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.33 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Guangxi Hengchen vs Shaanxi Union?

Guangxi Hengchen 1-2 Shaanxi Union in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Hengchen vs Shaanxi Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shaanxi Union win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Hengchen 35%, draw 28%, Shaanxi Union 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shaanxi Union) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shaanxi Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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