Haimen Codion 1-1 Hunan Billows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haimen Codion EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hunan Billows EU Bookmakers 46%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.02/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.29
+150% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +126% / -53%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
26.0 Crosses 22.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haimen Codion
1-1
AWAY Hunan Billows
1.76 xG 0.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
290 Passes 212
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Haimen Codion vs Hunan Billows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haimen Codion and Hunan Billows shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hunan Billows at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Haimen Codion had 58% of the ball to Hunan Billows's 42%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.76 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Haimen Codion vs Hunan Billows?

Haimen Codion 1-1 Hunan Billows in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haimen Codion vs Hunan Billows?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hunan Billows win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Haimen Codion 28%, draw 31%, Hunan Billows 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hunan Billows) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hunan Billows) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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